11号台风“摩羯”来了！向华南一带沿海靠近，可能达到15级

台 风 公 报

预报：高拴柱签发：吕心艳2024年09月02日10时

“摩羯”将向偏北转西偏北方向移动

一、“摩羯”位于菲律宾以东近海海面上

今年第11号台风“摩羯”（热带风暴级）的中心今天（2日）上午8点钟位于菲律宾马尼拉东偏北方约205公里的海面上，就是北纬15.1度、东经122.8度，中心附近最大风力有8级（20米/秒），中心最低气压为995百帕，七级风圈半径150-200公里。

二、“摩羯”向偏北转西偏北方向移动

预计，“摩羯”将以每小时15-20公里的速度向偏北方向移动，3日开始转向西偏北方向移动，并将于4日白天进入南海北部海面，尔后向华南一带沿海靠近，强度逐渐加强，最强可达强台风级或超强台风级（45-52米/秒，14-16级）。

海洋天气公报

预报：聂高臻签发：黄彬2024年09月02日06时

我国近海海域将有6~8级风

一、近海海域天气实况

1日14时至2日02时，渤海、渤海海峡、黄海北部和中部海域出现了6~8级、阵风9级的北到东北风，南海西南部海域出现了4~6级、阵风7级的偏西风。

二、近海海域重点天气预报

1、我国近海海域将有6~8级风

预计，9月2日白天，渤海、渤海海峡、黄海大部海域将有5~7级、阵风8级的北到东北风。2日夜间至4日夜间，巴士海峡、台湾以东洋面、南海东部海域、台湾海峡将有6~8级、阵风9级的风，其中巴士海峡和南海东北部的部分海域风力可达9~12级、阵风13级。

三、未来三天具体预报

海事天气公报

ZCZC

WWCI50 BABJ 020600

2:1:31:11:01:00

BT

SECURITE =

MESSAGE FOR NAVAREA XI(IOR) ISSUED BY NMC BEIJING

AT 1015UTC SEP.02 2024 =

MESSAGE IS UPDATED EVERY 06 HOURS =

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600UTC SEP.02 =

FCST VALID 0600UTC SEP.03 =

WARNNING=

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNNING=

TS YAGI 2411(2411) 995HPA AT 16.3N 122.3E

MVG NNW 20KMH AND MAX WINDS 20M/S NEAR CENTER

(SEAS UP TO 4M)

AND RADIUS OF 30KTS WINDS

200KM NE

200KM SE

180KM SW

150KM NW

AND FCST FOR 021800UTC AT 18.3N 121.8E 990HPA

AND MAX WINDS 23M/S NEAR CENTER

AND FCST FOR 030600UTC AT 19.1N 119.9E 985HPA

AND MAX WINDS 25M/S NEAR CENTER=

SUMMARY=

NW WINDS FROM 10 TO 12M/S GUSTS 14M/S SEAS UP TO

1.5M OVER BOHAI SEA=

ELY WINDS FROM 10 TO 12M/S GUSTS 14M/S SEAS UP TO

1.5M OVER BASHI CHANNEL=

HORIZONTAL VISIBILITY LESS THAN 10KM OVER ANDAMAN

SEA AND MALACCA STRAIT AND SEA EAST OF SINGAPORE

AND SUNDA STRAIT AND MAKASSAR STRAIT AND LAUT

MALUKU AND LAUT BANDA=

FCST=

BOHAI SEA

NE WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S DECR 04 TO

06M/S GUSTS 06 TO 08M/S SEA STATE MODERATE TO

SLIGHT SUNNY VIS GOOD=

BOHAI STRAIT

NE WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S DECR 04 TO

06M/S GUSTS 06 TO 08M/S SEA STATE MODERATE TO

SLIGHT SUNNY BECMG OVERCAST VIS GOOD=

CENTRAL PART OF YELLOW SEA

E WINDS 06 TO 08M/S GUSTS 08 TO 12M/S SEA STATE

MODERATE OVERCAST VIS GOOD=

SOUTHERN PART OF YELLOW SEA

NE WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S BACK N

WINDS 06 TO 08M/S GUSTS 08 TO 12M/S SEA STATE

MODERATE OVERCAST BECMG LIGHT RAIN VIS GOOD=

TAIWAN STRAIT

NE WINDS 04 TO 06M/S GUSTS 06 TO 08M/S INCR 08 TO

12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE SLIGHT TO

MODERATE OVERCAST VIS GOOD=

SEA EAST OF TAIWAN

NE WINDS 04 TO 06M/S GUSTS 06 TO 08M/S INCR 06 TO

08M/S GUSTS 08 TO 12M/S SEA STATE MODERATE

OVERCAST VIS GOOD=

BASHI CHANNEL

NE WINDS VEER S 20 TO 24M/S GUSTS 24 TO 28M/S SEA

STATE ROUGH MODERATE RAIN BECMG HEAVY RAIN VIS

MODERATE=

SOUTHWESTERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA

SW WINDS 06 TO 08M/S GUSTS 08 TO 12M/S INCR 08 TO

12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE MODERATE CLOUDY

BECMG MODERATE RAIN VIS GOOD TO MODERATE=

SOUTHEASTERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA

SW WINDS VEER W 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA

STATE MODERATE MODERATE RAIN VIS MODERATE=

SOUTHWESTERN PART OF JAPAN SEA

NE WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S DECR 06 TO

08M/S GUSTS 08 TO 12M/S SEA STATE MODERATE

OVERCAST VIS GOOD=

SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN

SW WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S DECR 06 TO

08M/S GUSTS 08 TO 12M/S SEA STATE MODERATE

OVERCAST VIS GOOD=

SEA NORTHEAST OF THE PHILIPPINES

S WINDS 16 TO 20M/S GUSTS 20 TO 24M/S SEA STATE

ROUGH MODERATE RAIN VIS MODERATE=

SEA SOUTHEAST OF THE PHILIPPINES

S WINDS VEER SW 06 TO 08M/S GUSTS 08 TO 12M/S SEA

STATE MODERATE CLOUDY VIS GOOD=

SEA SOUTH OF JAWA

E WINDS VEER SE 06 TO 08M/S GUSTS 08 TO 12M/S SEA

STATE MODERATE CLOUDY VIS GOOD=

SEA SOUTH OF SUMATERA

SE WINDS 06 TO 08M/S GUSTS 08 TO 12M/S INCR 08 TO

12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE MODERATE CLOUDY

VIS GOOD=

SEA SOUTH OF VIETNAM

SW WINDS 06 TO 08M/S GUSTS 08 TO 12M/S INCR 08 TO

12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE MODERATE CLOUDY

BECMG MODERATE RAIN VIS GOOD TO MODERATE=

GULF OF THAILAND

W WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S DECR 06 TO

08M/S GUSTS 08 TO 12M/S SEA STATE MODERATE

MODERATE RAIN VIS MODERATE=

ANDAMAN SEA

W WINDS BACK SW 06 TO 08M/S GUSTS 08 TO 12M/S SEA

STATE MODERATE MODERATE RAIN VIS MODERATE=

NNNN