台 风 预 报
预报：黄奕武 签发：钱奇锋 2021 年 09 月 12 日 18 时
“灿都”进入东海南部 “康森”减弱为热带低压
一、中央气象台9月12日18时继续发布台风橙色预警
今年第14号台风“灿都”（超强台风级）的中心今天（12日）下午5点钟位于浙江象山偏南方约430公里的东海南部海面上，就是北纬25.6度、东经122.4度，中心附近最大风力有16级（52米/秒），中心最低气压为935百帕，七级风圈半径220-300公里，十级风圈半径100-150公里，十二级风圈半径50-70公里。
预计，“灿都”将以每小时25公里左右的速度向偏北方向移动，13日早晨到中午在浙江舟山到象山一带沿海登陆（38-45米/秒，13-14级，台风级或强台风级），或擦过舟山近海进入杭州湾，14-15日将在杭州湾附近海面或地区回旋少动，16日开始转向东北方向移动，强度逐渐减弱。
大风预报：12日20时至13日20时，黄海中部和南部、东海、台湾海峡、巴士海峡、台湾以东洋面、台湾岛沿海、福建北部沿海、浙江东部、上海、江苏东部沿海、杭州湾、长江口区将有6-8级大风，其中，台湾以东洋面、东海、黄海南部、浙江东部及其沿海、上海及其沿海、江苏东南部沿海、长江口区、杭州湾的风力将有9-11级、部分海域和地区风力可达12-14级，阵风15-16级，台风中心经过的附近海域或地区风力有15-16级，阵风17级及以上。
降水预报：12日20时至13日20时，江苏东南部、上海、安徽东南部、浙江大部等地的部分地区有大到暴雨，其中，上海、浙江北部和东部、江苏东南部的部分地区有大暴雨（100～220毫米）。上述部分地区伴有短时强降水（最大小时降雨量20～50毫米，局地可超过60毫米），局地有雷暴大风等强对流天气。
二、“康森”减弱为热带低压
今年第13号台风“康森”已于今天（12日）上午由热带风暴级减弱为热带低压，下午5点钟其中心位于越南东部近海海面上，就是北纬15.4度、东经108.8度，中心附近最大风力有7级（15米/秒），中心最低气压为998百帕。
预计，“康森”将在原地回旋少动，而后向西北方向缓慢移动，将登陆越南中部沿海并逐渐减弱消散，或在越南东部近海减弱消散。
海洋天气公报
预报：胡海川 签发：王 慧 2021 年 09 月 12 日 18 时
我国东部海域将受台风影响
一、近海海域天气实况
12日08时至14时，台湾以东洋面、东海南部海域出现了11～13级的旋转风，其中部分海域风力有14～16级，台湾海峡和东海北部海域出现了6～8级、阵风9级的大风。
二、近海海域重点天气预报
1、我国东部海域将受台风影响
12日夜间至15日白天，受台风“灿都”影响，台湾以东洋面、东海大部海域、黄海南部海域将有8～11级、阵风12～14级的大风，其中部分海域风力将有12～14级，台风中心经过的附近海域风力可达15～16级、阵风17级及以上。有关台风“灿都”的详细信息，请参见中央气象台最新一期《台风预警》。
三、未来三天具体预报
四、未来4～7天天气展望
预计，受“灿都”影响，15日夜间至17日白天，东海大部海域、黄海中部和南部海域将有6～8级、阵风9～10级的大风，其中黄海南部和东海北部部分海域的风力可达将有9级、阵风10～11级。
海事天气公报
ZCZC
WWCI50 BABJ 120600
2:2:31:11:11:00
BT
PAN PAN =
MESSAGE FOR NAVAREA XI(IOR) ISSUED BY NMC BEIJING
AT 1015UTC SEP.12 2021 =
MESSAGE IS UPDATED EVERY 06 HOURS =
SYNOPSIS VALID 0600UTC SEP.12 =
FCST VALID 0600UTC SEP.13 =
WARNNING=
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNNING=
SuperTY CHANTHU 2114(2114) 935HPA AT 25.2N 122.4E
MVG N 25KMH AND MAX WINDS 52M/S NEAR CENTER
(SEAS UP TO 12M)
AND RADIUS OF 30KTS WINDS
280KM NE
300KM SE
220KM SW
220KM NW
AND RADIUS OF 50KTS WINDS
150KM NE
150KM SE
100KM SW
100KM NW
AND RADIUS OF 64KTS WINDS
70KM NE
70KM SE
50KM SW
50KM NW
AND FCST FOR 130600UTC AT 30.3N 121.8E 960HPA
AND MAX WINDS 40M/S NEAR CENTER=
SUMMARY=
TD(2113) 998HPA AT 15.4N 108.8E MVG NW 5KMH
AND MAX WINDS 15M/S NEAR CENTER(SEAS UP TO 2.5M)=
NE WINDS FROM 10 TO 12M/S GUSTS 14M/S SEAS UP TO
1.5M OVER SOUTHERN PART OF YELLOW SEA=
CYCLONIC WINDS FROM 10 TO 14M/S GUSTS 18M/S SEAS
UP TO 2.0M OVER NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA
AND TAIWAN STRAIT=
NLY WINDS FROM 14 TO 18M/S GUSTS 22M/S SEAS UP TO
3.5M OVER SOUTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA=
SW/SLY WINDS FROM 12 TO 18M/S GUSTS 22M/S SEAS UP
TO 3.0M OVER SEA EAST OF TAIWAN AND BASHI CHANNEL
AND SEA NORTHEAST OF THE PHILIPPINES=
WLY WINDS FROM 10 TO 12M/S GUSTS 14M/S SEAS UP TO
1.5M OVER NORTHEASTERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA=
SW/SLY WINDS FROM 10 TO 12M/S GUSTS 14M/S SEAS UP
TO 1.5M OVER CENTRAL PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA AND
SOUTHERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA=
HORIZONTAL VISIBILITY LESS THAN 10KM OVER BOHAI
SEA AND CENTRAL PART OF YELLOW SEA AND WESTERN
PART OF EAST CHINA SEA AND NORTHWESTERN PART OF
SOUTH CHINA SEA AND SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN AND SEA
EAST OF RYUKYU ISLANDS AND ANDAMAN SEA AND MALACCA
STRAIT AND SEA EAST OF SINGAPORE AND SEA SOUTH OF
SUMATERA AND SUNDA STRAIT AND LAUT JAWA AND
MAKASSAR STRAIT AND LAUT MALUKU AND LAUT BANDA=
FCST=
SOUTHERN PART OF YELLOW SEA
E WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S INCR 12 TO
16M/S GUSTS 16 TO 20M/S SEA STATE MODERATE
OVERCAST BECMG LIGHT RAIN VIS GOOD=
NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA
E WINDS 16 TO 20M/S GUSTS 20 TO 24M/S INCR 24 TO
28M/S GUSTS 28 TO 32M/S SEA STATE MODERATE TO
ROUGH HEAVY RAIN VIS MODERATE=
SOUTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA
S WINDS VEER SW 28 TO 32M/S GUSTS 32 TO 36M/S SEA
STATE ROUGH HEAVY RAIN BECMG MODERATE RAIN VIS
MODERATE=
TAIWAN STRAIT
SW WINDS BACK S 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA
STATE MODERATE OVERCAST BECMG MODERATE RAIN VIS
GOOD=
SEA EAST OF TAIWAN
S WINDS 32 TO 36M/S GUSTS 36 TO 40M/S DECR 16 TO
20M/S GUSTS 20 TO 24M/S SEA STATE VERY ROUGH TO
MODERATE OVERCAST VIS GOOD=
BASHI CHANNEL
SW WINDS 12 TO 16M/S GUSTS 16 TO 20M/S DECR 08 TO
12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE MODERATE
OVERCAST BECMG MODERATE RAIN VIS GOOD=
NORTHEASTERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA
SW WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S DECR 06 TO
08M/S GUSTS 08 TO 12M/S SEA STATE MODERATE TO
SLIGHT OVERCAST VIS GOOD=
WEST CENTRAL SOUTH CHINA SEA
S WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S DECR 06 TO
08M/S GUSTS 08 TO 12M/S SEA STATE MODERATE TO
SLIGHT CLOUDY VIS GOOD=
EAST CENTRAL SOUTH CHINA SEA
S WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S DECR 06 TO
08M/S GUSTS 08 TO 12M/S SEA STATE MODERATE TO
SLIGHT MODERATE RAIN VIS MODERATE=
SOUTHWESTERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA
SW WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE
MODERATE CLOUDY VIS GOOD=
SOUTHEASTERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA
S WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE
MODERATE CLOUDY BECMG MODERATE RAIN VIS GOOD=
NORTHEASTERN PART OF JAPAN SEA
NW WINDS 12 TO 16M/S GUSTS 16 TO 20M/S VEER N
WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE
ROUGH TO MODERATE OVERCAST VIS GOOD=
KOREA STRAIT
E WINDS 06 TO 08M/S GUSTS 08 TO 12M/S INCR 08 TO
12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE MODERATE CLOUDY
BECMG MODERATE RAIN VIS GOOD=
SEA EAST OF RYUKYU ISLANDS
S WINDS 12 TO 16M/S GUSTS 16 TO 20M/S DECR 08 TO
12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE ROUGH TO
MODERATE OVERCAST VIS GOOD=
SEA NORTHEAST OF THE PHILIPPINES
S WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S DECR 06 TO
08M/S GUSTS 08 TO 12M/S SEA STATE MODERATE
OVERCAST VIS GOOD=
SEA SOUTH OF SUMATERA
SE WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE
MODERATE MODERATE RAIN VIS MODERATE=
SEA SOUTH OF VIETNAM
W WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE
MODERATE CLOUDY BECMG MODERATE RAIN VIS GOOD=
NNNN
