XINDE MARINE NEWS
China Newbuilding Price Index (CNPI) Drops for the First Time After 20 Months of Consecutive Increases xinde marine news Chen Yang 2024-11-04 09:56


After a remarkable 20-month consecutive rise, the China Newbuilding Price Index (CNPI) has registered its first decline in October 2024, edging down by just one point to 1,130. While the drop may seem minor, it could mark a potential turning point. Historically, once the CNPI dips, it usually doesn’t rebound immediately, with previous declines lasting at least five months.

The Founder of CNPI Mr.LiuXunliang said in the CNPI monthly report:Two possible paths lie ahead: the CNPI could either enter a prolonged downtrend, similar to the period from July 2014 to July 2017, or experience a brief dip before resuming its upward trajectory, as seen from September 2022 to January 2023.

Optimists believe the fundamentals remain robust. With shipyards holding substantial order books, prices are expected to remain resilient. This recent drop, driven by a 0.2% decline in the containership price index (CNCPI) due to the decreased valuation of large container vessels, could be an isolated incident. Notably, benchmark vessels across key segments are still seeing price increases, balancing the overall market. As a result, the Dry Bulker Price Index (CNDPI) and the Tanker Price Index (CNTPI) both held steady from September to October.

While the CNCPI dip caused a slight downturn in the CNPI, there’s reason to view this as a short-term adjustment rather than a definitive shift toward a long-term decline. For those who believe we’re in a super-cycle that could last until 2040, this may just be a temporary pause.

by Xinde Marine News Chen Yang

The opinions expressed herein are the author's and not necessarily those of The Xinde Marine News.

Please Contact Us at:

 

media@xindemarine.com


展开全文

Related Posts

China Newbuilding Price Index (CNPI) Drops for the First Time After 20 Months of Consecutive Increase

xinde marine news Chen Yang2024-11-04

BIMCO Shipping Number of the Week: Attacks on ships in Ukraine threaten 1% of dry bulk market

BIMCO2024-10-24

BIMCO Shipping Number of the Week: Coal shipments to India jump 10%, but growth could slow

BIMCO2024-09-05

Are buoyant dry bulk markets bracing for fourth quarter iron ore angst?

MSI2024-09-03

BIMCO Shipping Number of the Week: Container ship contracting spree now exceeds 10 million TEU

BIMCO2024-08-27

BIMCO Shipping Number of the Week: Product tanker contracting hits 18-year high after 17% rise y/y

BIMCO2024-08-21