台 风 公 报
预报:刘达 签发:董林 2024年 09月 29日 10时
台风“山陀儿”向台湾岛南部沿海靠近
台风“飞燕”向日本东南部洋面靠近
一、中央气象台9月29日10时继续发布台风蓝色预警:
今年第18号台风“山陀儿”(强热带风暴级)的中心今天(29日)上午8点钟位于台湾省鹅銮鼻东南方大约505公里的西北太平洋洋面上,就是北纬18.7度、东经124.3度,中心附近最大风力有10级(28米/秒),中心最低气压为982百帕,七级风圈半径200-250公里,十级风圈半径50-100公里。
预计,“山陀儿”将以每小时10公里左右的速度向西北转偏北方向移动,强度逐渐增强,最强可达强台风级或超强台风级(48-52米/秒,15-16级),并逐渐向台湾岛南部沿海靠近。
大风预报:29日14时至30日14时,台湾海峡、巴士海峡、台湾以东洋面、南海东北部和东海南部的部分海域及福建沿海、台湾岛沿海将有6-7级大风、阵风8-9级,其中台湾海峡、巴士海峡和台湾以东洋面的部分海域风力可达8-9级、阵风10-11级,台风中心经过的附近海域风力有10-12级,阵风13-14级。
降水预报:29日14时至30日14时,台湾岛东部有大到暴雨(50-70毫米)。
二、台风“飞燕”将向日本东南部洋面靠近
今年第17号台风“飞燕”(热带风暴级)的中心今天(29日)上午8点钟位于日本东京偏南方大约1460公里的西北太平洋洋面上,就是北纬22.6度、东经141.2度,中心附近最大风力有8级(18米/秒),中心最低气压为998百帕,七级风圈半径100-200公里。
预计,“飞燕”将以每小时15-20公里的速度向北偏西方向移动,强度还将略有增强,并向日本东南部洋面靠近,逐渐变性为温带气旋。未来“飞燕”对我国海域无影响。
海洋天气公报
预报:向纯怡 签发:黄 彬 2024年 09月 29日 06时
我国北部和东南部海域将有7~9级大风
一、近海海域天气实况
28日14时至29日02时,东海西部海域出现了5~7级、阵风8级的偏北风。
二、近海海域重点天气预报
1、我国东南部海域将有7~9级大风
预计,29日白天至10月1日夜间,东海南部海域、台湾海峡、台湾以东洋面、巴士海峡、南海东北部和中东部海域将有7~9级、阵风10级的大风,其中台风“山陀儿”中心经过的附近海域风力可达9~12级、阵风13~14级。有关台风“山陀儿”的详细信息,请参见中央气象台最新一期《台风预警》。
另外,30日白天至10月1日夜间,渤海、渤海海峡、黄海大部海域将有7~8级、阵风9级的偏北风,其中渤海部分海域风力可达8级、阵风9级。为此,中央气象台29日06时继续发布《大风蓝色预警》。
三、未来三天具体预报
海事天气公报
ZCZC
2:2:31:11:11:00
BT
PAN PAN =
MESSAGE FOR METAREA XI (CHINA) ISSUED BY NMC BEIJING
AT 1015UTC SEP.29 2024 =
MESSAGE IS UPDATED EVERY 06 HOURS =
SYNOPSIS VALID 0600UTC SEP.29 =
FCST VALID 0600UTC SEP.30 =
WARNNING=
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNNING=
TS JEBI 2417(2417) 998HPA AT 24.0N 141.4E
MVG N 17KMH AND MAX WINDS 18M/S NEAR CENTER
(SEAS UP TO 4M)
AND RADIUS OF 30KTS WINDS
200KM NE
200KM SE
100KM SW
150KM NW
AND MAX WINDS 20M/S NEAR CENTER
AND MAX WINDS 23M/S NEAR CENTER=
TY KRATHON 2418(2418) 975HPA AT 19.4N 123.9E
MVG WNW 11KMH AND MAX WINDS 33M/S NEAR CENTER
(SEAS UP TO 8.5M)
AND RADIUS OF 30KTS WINDS
250KM NE
250KM SE
200KM SW
220KM NW
AND RADIUS OF 50KTS WINDS
120KM NE
120KM SE
80KM SW
100KM NW
AND MAX WINDS 38M/S NEAR CENTER
AND MAX WINDS 45M/S NEAR CENTER=
SUMMARY=
ELY WINDS FROM 10 TO 12M/S GUSTS 14M/S SEAS UP TO
1.5M OVER SOUTHERN PART OF YELLOW SEA AND EAST
CHINA SEA AND SEA EAST OF TAIWAN=
NLY WINDS FROM 12 TO 18M/S GUSTS 22M/S SEAS UP TO
3.0M OVER TAIWAN STRAIT AND BASHI CHANNEL=
NLY WINDS FROM 10 TO 12M/S GUSTS 14M/S SEAS UP TO
1.5M OVER NORTHEASTERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA=
SLY WINDS FROM 18 TO 22M/S GUSTS 26M/S SEAS UP TO
4.0M OVER SEA NORTHEAST OF THE PHILIPPINES=
HORIZONTAL VISIBILITY LESS THAN 10KM OVER ANDAMAN
SEA AND MALACCA STRAIT AND SEA EAST OF SINGAPORE
AND SEA SOUTH OF SUMATERA AND SUNDA STRAIT AND
LAUT JAWA AND MAKASSAR STRAIT AND LAUT MALUKU=
FCST=
BOHAI SEA
S WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S BACK NE
WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE
SLIGHT TO MODERATE CLOUDY BECMG MODERATE RAIN VIS
GOOD TO MODERATE=
SOUTHERN PART OF YELLOW SEA
E WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S DECR 06 TO
08M/S GUSTS 08 TO 12M/S SEA STATE MODERATE
OVERCAST VIS GOOD=
NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA
E WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S DECR 06 TO
08M/S GUSTS 08 TO 12M/S SEA STATE MODERATE LIGHT
RAIN VIS GOOD=
SOUTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA
NE WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S VEER E
WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE
MODERATE TO ROUGH LIGHT RAIN VIS GOOD=
TAIWAN STRAIT
NE WINDS 16 TO 20M/S GUSTS 20 TO 24M/S SEA STATE
ROUGH OVERCAST VIS GOOD=
SEA EAST OF TAIWAN
NE WINDS 12 TO 16M/S GUSTS 16 TO 20M/S VEER E
WINDS 12 TO 16M/S GUSTS 16 TO 20M/S SEA STATE VERY
ROUGH TO HIGH MODERATE RAIN BECMG HEAVY RAIN VIS
MODERATE=
BASHI CHANNEL
W WINDS 24 TO 28M/S GUSTS 28 TO 32M/S BACK S WINDS
24 TO 28M/S GUSTS 28 TO 32M/S SEA STATE HIGH HEAVY
RAIN BECMG RAINSTORM VIS MODERATE TO POOR=
NORTHEASTERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA
N WINDS BACK NW 12 TO 16M/S GUSTS 16 TO 20M/S SEA
STATE ROUGH OVERCAST VIS GOOD=
EAST CENTRAL SOUTH CHINA SEA
W WINDS 06 TO 08M/S GUSTS 08 TO 12M/S INCR 08 TO
12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE MODERATE
MODERATE RAIN VIS MODERATE=
KOREA STRAIT
NE WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S DECR 06 TO
08M/S GUSTS 08 TO 12M/S SEA STATE MODERATE
OVERCAST VIS GOOD=
SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN
NE WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE
ROUGH LIGHT RAIN VIS GOOD=
SEA EAST OF RYUKYU ISLANDS
E WINDS VEER SE 12 TO 16M/S GUSTS 16 TO 20M/S SEA
STATE ROUGH MODERATE RAIN VIS MODERATE=
SEA WEST OF BONIN ISLANDS
S WINDS 16 TO 20M/S GUSTS 20 TO 24M/S SEA STATE
MODERATE OVERCAST VIS GOOD=
SEA NORTHEAST OF THE PHILIPPINES
SE WINDS 20 TO 24M/S GUSTS 24 TO 28M/S VEER S
WINDS 20 TO 24M/S GUSTS 24 TO 28M/S SEA STATE VERY
ROUGH MODERATE RAIN VIS MODERATE=
SEA WEST OF NORTHERN MARIANA ISLANDS
S WINDS BACK E 04 TO 06M/S GUSTS 06 TO 08M/S SEA
STATE MODERATE OVERCAST VIS GOOD=
SEA SOUTHEAST OF THE PHILIPPINES
S WINDS 06 TO 08M/S GUSTS 08 TO 12M/S SEA STATE
MODERATE CLOUDY VIS GOOD=
SEA SOUTH OF JAWA
SE WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE
MODERATE CLOUDY BECMG SUNNY VIS GOOD=
SEA SOUTH OF SUMATERA
SE WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE
MODERATE MODERATE RAIN VIS MODERATE=
NNNN