台 风 公 报
预报:柳龙生 许映龙 签发:金荣花 2023年 09月 02日 18时
“海葵”将登陆台湾东南部沿海
“苏拉”将移入北部湾海面
中央气象台9月2日18时继续发布台风红色预警:
今年第11号台风“海葵”的中心今天(9月2日)下午5点钟位于台湾省台东市以东大约375公里的海面上,就是北纬22.5度、东经124.8度,中心附近最大风力有13级(40米/秒),中心最低气压为960百帕,七级风圈半径220-250公里,十级风圈半径100-120公里,十二级风圈半径50公里。
预计,“海葵”将以每小时15-20公里的速度向偏西方向移动,强度逐渐增强,最强可达超强台风级(52-55米/秒, 16级),并将于3日傍晚前后在台湾岛东南部沿海登陆(强台风级或超强台风级,45-52米/秒,14-16级),之后穿过台湾岛,4日凌晨移入台湾海峡,然后向福建南部到广东东部一带沿海靠近。
另外,今年第9号台风“苏拉”的中心于今天(9月2日)下午1点50分前后在广东省阳江市海陵岛再次登陆,登陆时中心附近最大风力有10级(28米/秒),中心最低气压为982百帕。下午5点钟“苏拉”在广东省阳江市境内减弱为热带风暴级,其中心位于北纬21.9度、东经111.4度,中心附近最大风力有8级(20米/秒),中心最低气压为995百帕。
预计,“苏拉”将以每小时15-20公里的速度向西偏南方向移动,将于3日上午移入北部湾海面,强度逐渐减弱。
大风预报:9月2日20时至3日20时,受“苏拉”影响,广东中西部沿海、广西南部沿海、海南岛北部沿海、珠江口及澳门等地将有6-7级大风,南海西北部、北部湾东部和琼州海峡将有8级、阵风9-10级的大风;受“海葵”影响,巴士海峡南部、台湾海峡西部、东海南部及钓鱼岛附近海域、浙江南部沿海、福建中北部沿海、台湾岛沿海将有6-8级、阵风9-10级大风,巴士海峡北部、台湾海峡东部、台湾以东洋面及台湾岛南部沿海的风力有9-12级,阵风13-14级,“海葵”中心经过的附近海面或地区的风力有13-16级,阵风17级。
降水预报:9月2日20时至3日20时,受“苏拉”和“海葵”影响,广西中南部、广东西南部、台湾岛大部有大到暴雨,其中,广西东南部、台湾岛东部等地部分地区有大暴雨,台湾岛东部局地有特大暴雨(250-300毫米)。
海洋天气公报
预报:渠鸿宇 签发:许映龙 2023年 09月 02日 18时
我国东南部和南部海域将受“苏拉”和“海葵”影响
一、近海海域天气实况
2日02时至14时,黄海南部海域、东海大部海域、台湾海峡出现了5~7级、阵风8级的东北风或偏北风,南海北部海域出现了8~12级、阵风13-14级的大风。
二、近海海域重点天气预报
1、我国东南部和南部海域将受“苏拉”和“海葵”影响
9月2日夜间至5日白天,受台风“苏拉”影响,南海西北部海域、北部湾、琼州海峡将有6~8级、阵风10~11级的大风,受台风“海葵”影响,东海南部海域、台湾以东洋面、台湾海峡、巴士海峡、南海东北部海域将有6~8级、阵风10~11级的大风,其中台湾以东洋面、台湾海峡、巴士海峡北部海域、南海东北部的部分海域风力可达9~11级、阵风13~14级,台风“海葵”中心经过的附近海域风力可达12~16级、阵风17级及以上。有关台风“苏拉”和“海葵”的详细信息,请参见中央气象台最新一期《台风预警》。
2、我国东南部及南部海域将有8~10级雷暴大风
9月2日夜间至9月3日白天,东海西南部海域、台湾海峡、台湾以东洋面、北部湾北部海域将有8~10级的雷暴大风。
三、未来三天具体预报
四、未来4~7天天气展望
9月5日夜间至9月9日白天,南海东北部海域、台湾海峡、巴士海峡、台湾以东洋面、东海南部海域、北部湾将有6~8级、阵风9~10级的大风。
海事天气公报
ZCZC
WWCI50 BABJ 020600
2:2:31:11:11:00
BT
PAN PAN =
MESSAGE FOR NAVAREA XI(IOR) ISSUED BY NMC BEIJING
AT 1015UTC SEP.02 2023 =
MESSAGE IS UPDATED EVERY 06 HOURS =
SYNOPSIS VALID 0600UTC SEP.02 =
FCST VALID 0600UTC SEP.03 =
WARNNING=
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNNING=
STS SAOLA 2309(2309) 982HPA AT 21.7N 111.9E
MVG WSW 12KMH AND MAX WINDS 28M/S NEAR CENTER
(SEAS UP TO 6.5M)
AND FCST FOR 030600UTC AT 20.7N 109.8E 998HPA
AND MAX WINDS 18M/S NEAR CENTER=
TY HAIKUI 2311(2311) 960HPA AT 22.5N 125.2E
MVG W 18KMH AND MAX WINDS 40M/S NEAR CENTER
(SEAS UP TO 8.5M)
AND RADIUS OF 30KTS WINDS
250KM NE
250KM SE
220KM SW
220KM NW
AND RADIUS OF 50KTS WINDS
120KM NE
120KM SE
100KM SW
100KM NW
AND RADIUS OF 64KTS WINDS
50KM NE
50KM SE
50KM SW
50KM NW
AND FCST FOR 030600UTC AT 22.7N 121.6E 930HPA
AND MAX WINDS 55M/S NEAR CENTER=
SUMMARY=
NLY WINDS FROM 10 TO 14M/S GUSTS 18M/S SEAS UP TO
2.0M OVER EAST CHINA SEA AND TAIWAN STRAIT AND SEA
EAST OF TAIWAN AND BEIBU GULF=
SW/WLY WINDS FROM 10 TO 14M/S GUSTS 18M/S SEAS UP
TO 2.0M OVER BASHI CHANNEL AND NORTHWESTERN PART
OF SOUTH CHINA SEA AND EAST CENTRAL SOUTH CHINA
SEA AND SOUTHERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA AND SEA
NORTHEAST OF THE PHILIPPINES=
CYCLONIC WINDS FROM 10 TO 12M/S GUSTS 14M/S SEAS
UP TO 1.5M OVER NORTHEASTERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA
SEA=
SE WINDS FROM 12 TO 14M/S GUSTS 18M/S SEAS UP TO
2.5M OVER SEA EAST OF RYUKYU ISLANDS=
HORIZONTAL VISIBILITY LESS THAN 10KM OVER SOUTHERN
PART OF YELLOW SEA AND WESTERN PART OF EAST CHINA
SEA AND TAIWAN STRAIT AND NORTHWESTERN PART OF
SOUTH CHINA SEA AND SEA EAST OF RYUKYU ISLANDS AND
ANDAMAN SEA AND THAILAND GULF AND SEA EAST OF
SINGAPORE AND SUNDA STRAIT AND LAUT JAWA AND
MAKASSAR STRAIT AND LAUT MALUKU AND LAUT BANDA=
FCST=
SOUTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA
E WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE
MODERATE LIGHT RAIN VIS MODERATE=
TAIWAN STRAIT
NE WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S BACK N
WINDS 12 TO 16M/S GUSTS 16 TO 20M/S SEA STATE
MODERATE OVERCAST VIS GOOD=
SEA EAST OF TAIWAN
E WINDS VEER SW 36 TO 40M/S GUSTS 40 TO 45M/S SEA
STATE VERY ROUGH MODERATE RAIN BECMG RAINSTORM VIS
MODERATE TO POOR=
BASHI CHANNEL
W WINDS BACK SW 20 TO 24M/S GUSTS 24 TO 28M/S SEA
STATE ROUGH MODERATE RAIN VIS MODERATE=
BEIBU GULF
N WINDS 12 TO 16M/S GUSTS 16 TO 20M/S SEA STATE
MODERATE OVERCAST BECMG MODERATE RAIN VIS GOOD TO
MODERATE=
QIONGZHOU STRAIT
NW WINDS 16 TO 20M/S GUSTS 20 TO 24M/S SEA STATE
MODERATE OVERCAST BECMG HEAVY RAIN VIS GOOD TO
MODERATE=
NORTHWESTERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA
SE WINDS 20 TO 24M/S GUSTS 24 TO 28M/S VEER SW
WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE
ROUGH TO MODERATE OVERCAST VIS GOOD=
EAST CENTRAL SOUTH CHINA SEA
SW WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE
MODERATE MODERATE RAIN VIS MODERATE=
SOUTHWESTERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA
SW WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE
MODERATE CLOUDY VIS GOOD=
SOUTHEASTERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA
SW WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE
MODERATE MODERATE RAIN VIS MODERATE=
SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN
NE WINDS 06 TO 08M/S GUSTS 08 TO 12M/S INCR 08 TO
12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE MODERATE
OVERCAST BECMG LIGHT RAIN VIS GOOD TO MODERATE=
SEA EAST OF RYUKYU ISLANDS
SE WINDS 24 TO 28M/S GUSTS 28 TO 32M/S DECR 16 TO
20M/S GUSTS 20 TO 24M/S SEA STATE HIGH TO VERY
ROUGH OVERCAST VIS GOOD=
SEA NORTHEAST OF THE PHILIPPINES
SW WINDS 12 TO 16M/S GUSTS 16 TO 20M/S SEA STATE
ROUGH MODERATE RAIN VIS MODERATE=
SEA WEST OF NORTHERN MARIANA ISLANDS
SW WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE
MODERATE MODERATE RAIN VIS MODERATE=
SEA WEST OF GUAM
SW WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S DECR 06 TO
08M/S GUSTS 08 TO 12M/S SEA STATE MODERATE
MODERATE RAIN BECMG CLOUDY VIS MODERATE TO GOOD=
SEA SOUTH OF SUMATERA
SE WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE
MODERATE CLOUDY VIS GOOD=
SEA SOUTH OF VIETNAM
W WINDS BACK SW 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA
STATE MODERATE CLOUDY BECMG MODERATE RAIN VIS GOOD
TO MODERATE=
GULF OF THAILAND
W WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE
MODERATE CLOUDY BECMG MODERATE RAIN VIS GOOD TO
MODERATE=
ANDAMAN SEA
W WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE
MODERATE MODERATE RAIN VIS MODERATE=
NNNN