台 风 公 报
预报:黄奕武 签发:钱奇峰 2022年 10月 15日 18时
今年第20号台风“纳沙”生成
中央气象台10月15日18时继续发布台风蓝色预警:
菲律宾以东洋面热带低压已于今天(15日)下午加强为今年第20号台风“纳沙”(热带风暴级,英文名称:Nesat;名字来源:柬埔寨;名字意义:渔夫),下午5点钟其中心位于台湾省鹅銮鼻东南方向约460公里的洋面上,就是北纬18.5度、东经123.4度,中心附近最大风力有8级(18米/秒),中心最低气压为998百帕,七级风圈半径150-200公里。
预计,“纳沙”将以每小时15公里左右的速度向西偏北方向移动,今天夜间擦过菲律宾吕宋岛北部(热带风暴级,8-9级,18-23米/秒),并将于17日凌晨前后移入南海东北部海面,强度逐渐增强,最强可达强热带风暴级或台风级(11-12级,30-35米/秒),尔后转为西偏南方向移动,强度缓慢减弱。
大风预报:15日20时至16日20时,受“纳沙”和冷空气共同影响,东海南部、台湾海峡、台湾以东洋面、巴士海峡、南海东北部海域以及浙江沿海、福建沿海、台湾岛沿海、广东东部沿海将有6-7级风,其中南海东北部、台湾海峡、巴士海峡部分海域、福建中部沿海、台湾岛西部和东南部沿海的风力可达8-9级,阵风10-11级,台风中心经过的附近海域风力可达10级,阵风11-12级。
降水预报:15日20时至16日20时,台湾岛中部和东部将有大到暴雨,其中台湾岛东部的部分地区有大暴雨(100-120毫米)。
海洋天气公报
预报:聂高臻 签发:黄 彬 2022年 10月 15日 18时
我国近海将有8~10级大风
一、近海海域天气实况
15日08时至14时,东海大部海域、台湾海峡、台湾以东洋面、巴士海峡、南海东北部海域出现了7~8级、阵风9级的东北到偏北风,南海西北部和中西部海域、北部湾出现了5~7级、阵风8级的东北风。
二、近海海域重点天气预报
1、我国东部和东南部海域将有雷暴大风
15日夜间,浙江中部沿岸海域、台湾岛附近海域将有8~10级雷暴大风。
16日白天,福建中北部沿岸海域、台湾岛附近海域将有8~10级雷暴大风。
2、我国北部和东部海域将有6~8级大风
15日夜间至17日白天,受冷空气影响,渤海、渤海海峡、黄海东部海域、东海北部海域将有6~8级、阵风9~10级的东北到偏北风。为此,中央气象台10月15日18时继续发布《海上大风预报》。
3、我国东南部和南部海域将有8~10级大风
15日夜间至18日白天,受台风“纳沙”和冷空气的共同影响,东海南部海域、台湾海峡、台湾以东洋面、巴士海峡、南海北部和中部海域将有8~10级、阵风11~12级的大风,台风中心经过的附近海域风力可达11~12级、阵风13~14级。有关台风“纳沙”的详细信息,请参见中央气象台最新一期《台风蓝色预警》。
三、未来三天具体预报
四、未来4~7天天气展望
预计,受台风“纳沙”和冷空气共同影响,18日夜间至20日白天,东海大部海域、台湾海峡、台湾以东洋面、巴士海峡、南海北部和中部海域、北部湾将有7~9级、阵风10~12级的大风,台风中心经过的附近海域风力可达10~12级、阵风13~14级。另外,受冷空气和热带低值系统共同影响,20日夜间至22日白天,台湾海峡、台湾以东洋面、巴士海峡、南海北部和中部海域将有6~ 8级、阵风9~ 10级的大风。
海事天气公报
ZCZC
2:1:31:11:01:00
BT
SECURITE =
MESSAGE FOR NAVAREA XI(IOR) ISSUED BY NMC BEIJING
AT 1015UTC OCT.15 2022 =
MESSAGE IS UPDATED EVERY 06 HOURS =
SYNOPSIS VALID 0600UTC OCT.15 =
FCST VALID 0600UTC OCT.16 =
WARNNING=
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNNING=
TS NESAT 2220(2220) 998HPA AT 18.7N 124.0E
MVG WNW 15KMH AND MAX WINDS 18M/S NEAR CENTER
(SEAS UP TO 3.5M)
AND RADIUS OF 30KTS WINDS
180KM NE
150KM SE
150KM SW
200KM NW
AND MAX WINDS 25M/S NEAR CENTER=
SUMMARY=
NE/NLY WINDS FROM 10 TO 12M/S GUSTS 14M/S SEAS UP
TO 1.5M OVER NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA AND
NORTHWESTERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA AND BEIBU
GULF=
NE/NLY WINDS FROM 12 TO 18M/S GUSTS 22M/S SEAS UP
TO 3.0M OVER SOUTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA AND
TAIWAN STRAIT AND SEA EAST OF TAIWAN AND BASHI
CHANNEL AND NORTHEASTERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA=
ELY WINDS FROM 10 TO 12M/S GUSTS 14M/S SEAS UP TO
1.5M OVER WEST CENTRAL SOUTH CHINA SEA=
CYCLONIC WINDS FROM 12 TO 14M/S GUSTS 18M/S SEAS
UP TO 2.5M OVER SEA NORTHEAST OF THE PHILIPPINES=
HORIZONTAL VISIBILITY LESS THAN 10KM OVER BOHAI
SEA AND BOHAI STRAIT AND CENTRAL PART OF YELLOW
SEA AND NORTHEASTERN PART OF JAPAN SEA AND SEA
WEST OF GUAM AND ANDAMAN SEA AND THAILAND GULF AND
MALACCA STRAIT AND SEA EAST OF SINGAPORE AND SEA
SOUTH OF SUMATERA AND SUNDA STRAIT AND LAUT JAWA
AND MAKASSAR STRAIT AND SEA SOUTHWEST OF THE
PHILIPPINES AND LAUT MALUKU AND LAUT BANDA=
FCST=
BOHAI SEA
N WINDS 12 TO 16M/S GUSTS 16 TO 20M/S VEER NE
WINDS 16 TO 20M/S GUSTS 20 TO 24M/S SEA STATE
SLIGHT TO MODERATE CLOUDY BECMG OVERCAST VIS GOOD=
BOHAI STRAIT
E WINDS M/S GUSTS 04 TO 06M/S BACK N WINDS 16 TO
20M/S GUSTS 20 TO 24M/S SEA STATE SMOOTH TO
MODERATE CLOUDY BECMG OVERCAST VIS GOOD=
NORTHERN PART OF YELLOW SEA
N WINDS M/S GUSTS 04 TO 06M/S INCR 12 TO 16M/S
GUSTS 16 TO 20M/S SEA STATE SMOOTH TO SLIGHT
CLOUDY VIS MODERATE TO POOR=
NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA
NE WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S DECR 06 TO
08M/S GUSTS 08 TO 12M/S SEA STATE MODERATE LIGHT
RAIN BECMG MODERATE RAIN VIS MODERATE TO POOR=
SOUTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA
NE WINDS 12 TO 16M/S GUSTS 16 TO 20M/S SEA STATE
ROUGH LIGHT RAIN BECMG MODERATE RAIN VIS MODERATE=
TAIWAN STRAIT
NE WINDS BACK N 20 TO 24M/S GUSTS 24 TO 28M/S SEA
STATE VERY ROUGH OVERCAST VIS MODERATE=
SEA EAST OF TAIWAN
NE WINDS 12 TO 16M/S GUSTS 16 TO 20M/S SEA STATE
ROUGH MODERATE RAIN BECMG HEAVY RAIN VIS POOR=
BASHI CHANNEL
NE WINDS BACK N 16 TO 20M/S GUSTS 20 TO 24M/S SEA
STATE VERY ROUGH HEAVY RAIN BECMG RAINSTORM VIS
POOR=
BEIBU GULF
NE WINDS 12 TO 16M/S GUSTS 16 TO 20M/S BACK N
WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE
ROUGH TO MODERATE CLOUDY BECMG SUNNY VIS MODERATE
TO GOOD=
NORTHWESTERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA
NE WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S BACK N
WINDS 06 TO 08M/S GUSTS 08 TO 12M/S SEA STATE
ROUGH TO MODERATE CLOUDY VIS GOOD=
NORTHEASTERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA
NE WINDS BACK N 12 TO 16M/S GUSTS 16 TO 20M/S SEA
STATE ROUGH OVERCAST VIS MODERATE=
WEST CENTRAL SOUTH CHINA SEA
NE WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE
ROUGH TO MODERATE MODERATE RAIN BECMG CLOUDY VIS
MODERATE=
SEA EAST OF RYUKYU ISLANDS
E WINDS VEER SE 12 TO 16M/S GUSTS 16 TO 20M/S SEA
STATE ROUGH OVERCAST BECMG MODERATE RAIN VIS
MODERATE=
SEA NORTHEAST OF THE PHILIPPINES
SW WINDS BACK SE 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA
STATE ROUGH MODERATE RAIN VIS MODERATE=
MALACCA STRAIT
NW WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S BACK W
WINDS 06 TO 08M/S GUSTS 08 TO 12M/S SEA STATE
MODERATE MODERATE RAIN VIS POOR=
NNNN