“至暗时刻”逼近 伊朗输出创纪录！2000多万桶伊油正奔向中国！

　　根据伊朗消息人士和Refinitiv Eikon的船舶追踪数据，在美国对伊朗石油的制裁正式生效之前，伊朗正将创记录的石油运往中国。

　　伊朗国家油运公司(NITC)，的一名消息人士透露，该公司正向中国大连港运送2000多万桶石油。该名人士表示：“正如我们的领导人所说，要阻止伊朗出售石油是不可能的。我们有多种销售方式，当油轮抵达大连时，我们将决定是卖给其他买家还是卖给中国。”

　　汇信APP数据显示，伊朗国家石油公司拥有的超大型油轮，正将总计2200万桶伊朗原油运往中国，预计将于本月和下月初抵达大连。

　　这也意味着，伊朗运往中国的石油势将刷新记录。根据Refinitiv Eikon从2015年1月开始追踪的数据，通常大连每个月接收的伊朗石油只有100万到300万桶。

　　大连是中国主要的石油枢纽之一。在2014年的上一轮制裁中，伊朗利用大连的储藏设施来储存原油，随后又将这些石油卖给了韩国和印度的买家。

　　伊朗石油折价卖给中国，还“包邮”

　　在伊朗的众多买家当中，中国是最为坚定的。

　　中国早就表明立场，称中国和伊朗在不违反各自国际义务的前提下保持着正常的交往与合作，这合情、合理、合法，无可非议。与此同时，中国一贯反对单边制裁和“长臂管辖”，中国的合法权益理应得到维护。这一立场是坚定的、明确的。

　　而为了打破美国的制裁，伊朗除了采取降价的手段，还推出了免运费的策略。据了解，在7-8月份，将伊朗石油运往中国的17艘邮轮全部都是伊朗国家石油公司旗下的船只，这意味着，伊朗不仅为中国承担运费，还为中国承担所有交付过程中的风险成本。此前三个月，几乎一半的运输邮轮都由中国负责。

　　另外，由于中美之间的贸易冲突，中国已经基本停止进口美国石油。可以预料，即使在美国的制裁正式生效后，中国还将继续购买伊朗石油。

　　伊朗石油出口实际降幅有限

　　美国本轮对伊朗的制裁将于11月4日生效，伊朗近日表示，美国的制裁不会得逞。即使有国家在美国的威胁下中止与伊朗的石油贸易，伊朗也可实现原油间接出口，伊朗已想到多种办法来找到新的合作伙伴，“美国绝对无法将伊朗的石油出口降至零”。

　　但目前已有许多买家停止进口伊朗石油，其中韩国更是最早将伊朗石油进口削减为零的买家。而印度则打算11月继续从伊朗进口原油，数量可能达到900万桶。同时，为防止伊朗原油出口遭“封杀”导致供应缺口，石油生产大国沙特阿拉伯11月将向印度4家企业额外供应400万桶原油。

　　伊朗将创纪录的石油运往中国，印证了英国《金融时报》最近的一篇报道。该报的David Sheppard援引独立追踪机构的卫星成像数据称，虽然很多媒体都声称伊朗的石油出口较4月份250万桶/日的高点已经下降过半，但Sheppard指出，事实上，伊朗的石油出口只是略有下降。数据显示，截至10月中旬，伊朗每日的石油出口量还超过220万桶。

　　伊朗石油出口数据难以准确计算的一个原因是，据Refinitiv Eikon，伊朗国家石油公司的油轮在装载或卸石油时，已关闭追踪装置，以躲避美国的追踪。

　　（文章来源：一牛财经）

SINGAPORE/BEIJING, Oct 18 (Reuters) - An unprecedented volume of Iranian crude oil is set to arrive at China's northeast Dalian port this month and in early November before U.S. sanctions on Iran take effect, data on Refinitiv Eikon showed on Thursday. A total of 22 million barrels of Iranian crude oil loaded on supertankers owned by the National Iranian Tanker Co (NITC) are headed for Dalian, the data showed. Dalian typically receives between 1 million and 3 million barrels of Iranian oil each month, according to the data that dates back to January 2015. Iran, the third-largest producer in the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), is finding fewer takers for its crude ahead of U.S. sanctions on its oil exports that will take effect on Nov. 4. The Islamic country previously stored oil at Dalian during the last round of sanctions in 2014 that was later sold to buyers in South Korea and India. Some of the biggest refineries and commercial oil storage facilities in China are located in Dalian. One of 11 Very Large Crude Carriers (VLCCs) - Dune - discharged oil into a bonded storage tank at the Xingang section of the Dalian port on Oct. 8, Reuters reported last week, while a second VLCC Dino I switched off its transponder on Oct. 13 near the port. Dino I reappeared earlier this week near Taiwan and has discharged its cargo onboard. The Xingang area is home to several tank farms including commercial and strategic reserves. China National Petroleum Corp (CNPC) and Dalian Port PDA Co Ltd both operate commercial storage in the area, according to information on the companies' websites. CNPC is not expecting any Iranian oil to arrive at Dalian, a source familiar with the matter said, adding that buyers are unlikely to lift Iranian oil from bonded tanks in Dalian due to the U.S. sanctions. Keeping oil in bonded storage gives the cargo's owner the option of selling the oil into China or to other buyers in the region. NITC tankers have now switched off their tracking devices when loading or discharging oil to evade U.S. authorities as the United States will re-impose sanctions on Iran in early November, according to Refinitiv Eikon shipping data. Three of the tankers, set to arrive in China in November, are heading to Changxing Island, the data showed. Reuters reached out to NITC for comment but officials were not immediately available as it is a weekend in Iran. An official with the media department at the Dalian port could not immediately comment. Below are the VLCCs carrying Iranian crude, heading to China's Dalian port: VLCC Loading Discharge date date Dune Sept. 12 Oct. 6 Dino I Sept. 10 Oct. 9 Sea Cliff Sept. 9 Oct. 18 Dore Sept. 20 Oct. 19 Happiness I Sept. 1 Oct. 19 Halti Sept. 6 Oct. 25 Serena Oct. 6 Oct. 29 Hero II Oct. 8 Nov. 1 Derya Oct. 10 Nov. 2 Devon Oct. 9 Nov. 4 Deep Sea Oct. 15 Nov. 9 Source: Refinitiv Eikon (Reporting by Florence Tan in SINGAPORE, Meng Meng and Chen Aizhu in BEIJING Editing by Manolo Serapio Jr.)

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